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Forecast model & key assumptions Every forecast includes explicit documentation of: Key growth drivers and their assumed impact Restraining factors and mitigation scenarios Regulatory assumptions and policy change risk Technology adoption curve parameter Macroeconomic assumptions (GDP growth, inflation, currency) Competitive dynamics and market entry/exit expectations 6

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[1] In addition, tobacco industry marketing and advertising increases total cigarette sales, distorts youth perceptions about the availability, use, and popularity of cigarettes, fosters positive brand imagery, cues cravings and undermines quit attempts, and fuels tobacco-related disparities

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